Michał Dubrawski - Third Image Media

Dec 9, 2021 3 min read

Forecasting the Omicron Variant with Juan Cambeiro

In a special Global Guessing podcast episode, Superforecaster and Metaculus Analyst Juan Cambeiro walks us through his analysis of Omicron and his five relevant forecasts for understanding the variant.

Oct 24, 2021 1 min read

?️David McCullough on Forecasting Adoption and Question Quality

Superforecaster and Managing Director of Government Operations for Good Judgement Inc. on Forecasting Adoption, Question Quality, and more.

Oct 17, 2021 2 min read

David Manheim on Pandemic Preparedness and Vaccine Challenge Trials

David Manheim on pandemic preparedness, vaccine challenge trials, quantified forecasting in governments, and real-money prediction markets.

Jul 11, 2021 1 min read

John Fowler on International Intrigue and the limits of Forecasting

John Fowler, co-founder and former Diplomat, on founding International Intrigue, the benefits and limitations of Forecasting, and the geopolitics of the East.

Jul 8, 2021 38 min read

✅ Juan Cambeiro, the Top Pandemic Forecaster on Good Judgement Open

Juan Cambeiro on best practices, forecasting benefits, and lessons from his predictions on mortgage interest rates, the 2021 Summer Olympics, and US COVID Deaths.